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Covered Commodity and Power Product

RBOB Gasoline

RB=F · Front-month continuous futures · USD per gallon

Current futures price$3.21
Current price$3.21
Daily return-7.4%
Weekly return-7.3%
Monthly return-4.0%
YTD return+88.4%
Contract monthNov 26
Contract expirationUnavailable
Rollover statusProvider-managed front-month continuous series; exact rollover methodology not supplied
Contract seriesFront-month continuous futures
RegionUnited States
Price-feed statusDelayed market data enabled
UnitsUSD per gallon
CurrencyUSD
ProviderYahoo Finance delayed futures data
Timestamp

Historical chart

RBOB Gasoline historical futures price 3.903.312.732.141.562023-09-182024-03-182024-09-182025-03-202025-09-182026-03-232026-09-22 Date Futures price
2023-09-18 to 2026-09-22 · Range 1.68 to 3.77

AI-Assisted Chart Analysis

RBOB Gasoline technical analysis

Calculated from verified chart history for the selected tenor; no news or fundamental assumptions are used.

Technical only
Trend

Mixed trend: the latest level is below its 20-period average, without full long-term confirmation.

Momentum

RSI is 54, a neutral reading. Above 70 can signal extension; below 30 can signal exhaustion.

Support scenario

The first technical watch zone is 3.10. A break below 2.84 invalidates the near-term support setup.

Resistance scenario

The first resistance/watch zone is 3.53. A confirmed break above 3.53 supports continuation.

Risk

Annualized realized volatility is +37.2%. Maximum lookback drawdown is -40.4%, from a high-water mark of 2.82 to 1.68.

Potential levels are conditional chart scenarios, not personalized advice or instructions to buy or sell.

Current signal

  • RBOB Gasoline front-month futures are trading at $3.1824 per gallon, reflecting a significant single-session decline of 9.79%.
  • Market data indicates a broader downward trend, with the contract down 4.06% over the past week and 4.94% over the past month.
  • The current price level follows a period of volatility where the contract had previously settled at $3.4699 on September 21, 2026, according to reported market data.

What changed

  • The contract experienced a sharp correction of 9.78% in the latest session, reversing the gains observed earlier in the week.
  • Prior to this decline, the market had shown upward momentum, with Morningstar reporting a 6.66% rise for the week ending September 18, 2026, and subsequent daily gains on September 16 and 17.
  • The price has retreated from the $3.50+ range observed in mid-September to the current $3.18 level.

Why it matters

  • The rapid price decline impacts downstream consumer costs and inflationary expectations for energy-related goods.
  • For producers and refiners, this volatility affects crack spreads and margin projections, which are critical for operational planning.
  • The shift in price dynamics alters the risk profile for market participants holding long positions, potentially triggering margin adjustments as defined by CME Group contract specifications.

Bullish factors

  • The year-to-date performance remains positive at 86.61%, suggesting a strong structural trend despite recent short-term weakness.
  • Historical data from mid-September showed consistent daily price increases, indicating underlying buying interest during that period.
  • CME Group maintains active options and futures markets, providing liquidity that supports price discovery for market participants.

Bearish factors

  • The recent 9.79% single-session drop represents a significant breakdown in short-term price support.
  • The contract has posted negative returns over both the one-week (-4.06%) and one-month (-4.94%) horizons, signaling a sustained period of selling pressure.
  • The retreat from the $3.50 level suggests that previous resistance levels may have capped upside potential, leading to profit-taking or liquidation.

Key catalysts

  • Market participants are monitoring official EIA petroleum status and refinery reports for updates on inventories, implied demand, and utilization rates.
  • Changes in crack spreads and seasonal specifications, as monitored by official energy agencies, serve as primary drivers for RBOB price action.
  • CME Group futures and options settlement data provides the framework for assessing market positioning and volatility.

Key risks

  • The primary risk is continued volatility in energy markets, which can lead to rapid shifts in contract value and margin requirements.
  • Uncertainty regarding supply and demand balances, as reported by official energy bodies, remains a constant factor for price stability.
  • The lack of specific, real-time fundamental catalysts in the current evidence set necessitates reliance on technical price action and broader energy market trends.

Upcoming reports

  • Market participants continue to track the standard CME Group futures calendar for upcoming contract rollovers and expirations.
  • Ongoing monitoring of EIA petroleum status reports remains the standard for assessing supply-side developments.
  • Future updates to CME Group margin requirements will be published as market volatility dictates.

Latest verified updates

  • CME Group provides ongoing official data regarding RBOB Gasoline futures margins, contract specifications, and settlement prices.
  • Morningstar reports have tracked daily settlement prices, noting a recent high of $3.5276 on September 18, 2026.
  • Official exchange data confirms the availability of options and futures liquidity, with volume and open interest metrics updated regularly.

Sources

Yahoo Finance delayed futures data

Last updated: