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NKE - Nike

Nike is a North America covered company in The Hedge Book research universe.

Public company · North America · Consumer Discretionary · Footwear · Apparel · Dow constituent

NYSE · Consumer Discretionary · Research updated · Market data updated Research and source refreshes run four times daily. The timestamps above identify the latest successful research and market-data updates.
Hedge Score 25 /100
BullishBullish
Confidence85%
Community Bullish0%
Followers0
Current Price$36.101D +1.7%

Price History

NKE chart

177.51142.01106.5171.0135.51 Sep 2021Jul 2022May 2023Mar 2024Jan 2025Nov 2025Sep 2026 2021-09-20 149.592024-03-25 93.982026-09-21 36.10

AI-Assisted Chart Analysis

Nike technical analysis

Calculated from verified chart history for the selected tenor; no news or fundamental assumptions are used.

Technical only
Trend

Established downtrend: the latest level is below the 50-period average and the 50-period average is below the 200-period average.

Momentum

RSI is 24, a washed out reading. Above 70 can signal extension; below 30 can signal exhaustion.

Support scenario

The first technical watch zone is 35.51. A break below 35.51 invalidates the near-term support setup.

Resistance scenario

The first resistance/watch zone is 46.23. A confirmed break above 78.38 supports continuation.

Risk

Annualized realized volatility is +76.4%. Maximum lookback drawdown is -80.0%, from a high-water mark of 177.51 to 35.51.

Potential levels are conditional chart scenarios, not personalized advice or instructions to buy or sell.

How To Read This Stock Brief
Hedge Score

Higher means the current research setup is stronger across signal, confidence, catalysts, risk balance, and market context. Lower means the setup is weaker or less supported.

Confidence

Higher confidence means the evidence is more consistent and relevant. It does not mean the stock has that percentage chance of going up.

Signal

Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral is the current AI research stance. It is designed to help you ask better questions, not to replace your decision process.

Community Bullish

This shows how signed-in users are voting. It is useful sentiment context, not proof that the crowd is right.

Read the full Hedge Score and confidence methodology

What Changed Today

  • Yahoo Finance delayed market data reported NKE at 36.10 USD; the latest daily move rose +1.66%. This is a verified market-price signal only and does not by itself confirm a change in company fundamentals.

Why It Matters

  • The verified +1.66% daily move is current market context for Nike.
  • It can affect near-term sentiment, but price action alone does not establish a change in earnings, asset quality, competitive position, valuation, catalysts, or risks.
  • Those require a separately sourced filing or company update.

AI Opinion

  • Read: The current evidence-grounded AI read is bullish.
  • Evidence: While the appointment of Alexandre Arnault to the board offers a potential long-term strategic pivot toward luxury and innovation, it does not address the immediate, tangible headwinds of slowing sales and margin compression.
  • Uncertainty: The upcoming October 1 earnings report is a critical inflection point; failure to meet expectations or provide a credible path to margin recovery could lead to further valuation deterioration.
  • Watch: Investors should remain cautious, as the turnaround thesis remains unproven, and the stock's high dividend yield may be a trap if earnings continue to decline.

Key Risks

  • Continued margin pressure from elevated promotional activity, as identified by Stifel, could lead to earnings misses and further downward revisions to guidance.
  • The loss of high-profile athletes to competitors like On threatens Nike's brand dominance in key categories, potentially leading to long-term market share erosion.
  • Macroeconomic headwinds, including potential interest rate hikes, disproportionately impact consumer discretionary stocks like Nike, which are already struggling with weak demand.
  • Failure to execute a successful turnaround in its wholesale and digital strategy could result in further index removals and institutional divestment.

Upcoming Catalysts

  • The fiscal first-quarter earnings report on October 1 is the primary catalyst, where management's guidance on margins and revenue growth will be scrutinized for signs of a turnaround.
  • Future board-level strategic announcements involving new director Alexandre Arnault could signal shifts in brand positioning or product innovation, potentially altering investor sentiment.
  • Any material updates regarding the company's status in the Dow Jones Industrial Average will serve as a significant indicator of its perceived blue-chip stability.
  • Evidence of successful inventory management or a reduction in promotional intensity in upcoming quarterly filings would be required to confirm a stabilization of gross margins.

Upcoming Events

No verified update available

Last Updated

Sources and verification

Each generated research claim remains linked to its supporting update. Primary evidence comes from filings, company materials, or regulators; secondary evidence provides additional context.

  • Published stock briefSecondary sourceReportedWhat Happens to Nike Stock's Yield if the Stock Doubles? · Published 2026-09-22 00:09:06Open verification sourceSupports: Published stock brief
  • Published stock briefSecondary sourceReportedNike (NKE) Brings in LVMH’s Alexandre Arnault as it Drops Out of the S&P 100 · Published 2026-09-22 00:09:06Open verification sourceSupports: Published stock brief
  • Published stock briefSecondary sourceReportedNKE Stock Price | Nike Inc. Cl B Stock Quote (U.S.: NYSE) - MarketWatch · Published 2026-09-22 00:09:06Open verification sourceSupports: Published stock brief
  • Published stock briefSecondary sourceAnalyst OpinionNike, On Holding, and Deckers Outdoor Are Down Between 23% and 43%. Here's the Stock to Buy, Even if the Fed Keeps Hiking Interest Rates. - The Motley Fool · Published 2026-09-22 00:09:06Open verification sourceSupports: Published stock brief
  • Published stock briefSecondary sourceReportedNike, On Holding, and Deckers Outdoor Are Down Between 23% and 43%. Here's the Stock to Buy, Even if the Fed Keeps Hiking Interest Rates. - Yahoo Finance · Published 2026-09-22 00:09:06Open verification sourceSupports: Published stock brief
Market-data attributionYahoo Finance delayed market data · provider detailsMarket prices are supporting signals only and do not establish the research conclusion.

Community View

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Total votes: 0

Disclaimer

The Hedge Book provides AI-assisted educational market research. It is not a registered investment adviser, broker, dealer, or financial planner. Content may contain errors and should be independently verified. Do not treat this page as personalized advice to buy, sell, or hold any security.